@ISIDEWITHPreguntesPolítica exteriorFa 6 anys

Els Estats Units haurien d’anar a la guerra amb l’Iran?

El juny del 2019, les tensions entre els Estats Units i l’Iran van augmentar després que un avió no tripulat de vigilància nord-americà fos destruït pel guàrdia revolucionari d’Iran al golf d’Oman. Els Estats Units van afirmar que era un "atac no provocat" i el drone estava en un espai aeri internacional. 2 setmanes abans, l’administració de Trump va culpar a Iran dels atacs contra dos petroliers que van ser bombardejats al Golf d’Oman. Iran va negar qualsevol implicació. A principis de juny, l&rsq…  

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Answer Overview

Response rates from 413 Districte del Congrés 15 voters.

11%
Sí
89%
Sense
4%
Sí
76%
Sense
5%
Sí, però només si desenvolupen armes nuclears
14%
No, els Estats Units haurien d’encoratjar l’Iran a desarmar-se a través dels canals diplomàtics
1%
Sí, però només amb atacs de míssils

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Trump Pivots: "Pease Deal With Iran Now!"

Trump proposes a "Verified Nuclear Peace Agreement" with Iran, expressing preference for diplomacy over military action and calling for immediate negotiations.Despite advocating for diplomacy, Trump simultaneously issued an executive order reinstating his "maximum pressure" sanctions policy from his first administration.The sanctions campaign aims to completely halt Iran's oil exports, particularly focusing on exports to China, which currently receives about 1.7 million barrels per day.Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi responded by calling the maximum pressure strategy a "failed experience" while indicating openness to discussions about their nuclear program.The executive order includes reviewing and potentially rescinding existing sanctions waivers, including those related to the Chabahar port project operated by India.Iranian oil exports had previously dropped from 3 million barrels per day in 2018 to 420,000 barrels per day in December 2019 under Trump's first-term sanctions.Iran currently maintains a "shadow fleet" of oil tankers operating outside Western banking and insurance services to circumvent US restrictions.Oil markets showed limited reaction to Trump's announcement, with Brent crude dropping 1% as traders doubt the ability to completely block Iranian exports.Analysts suggest Iran could become a negotiating tool in US-China trade discussions, with China potentially willing to reduce Iranian oil imports as it modernizes its refining sector.Iranian analysts indicate Tehran would likely reject any agreement attempting to restrict their ballistic missile program, which they consider their primary deterrent.